As more foreign companies decide to move their inherited equipment to China, by 2009, China's second-hand semiconductor equipment market will exceed $800 million. Samuel Ni, senior China analyst at International Semiconductor Equipment and Materials (SEMI), said: "Although two or three 300mm manufacturing plants have been put into production or planning, we believe that the 200mm fab is still the mainstream of consumption in the next two to three years."
Ni said that in 2009, China's wafer fabrication equipment market will reach a total of 3.4 billion US dollars? D?D's share of the global equipment market will rise from 6% in 2006 to 7%. If China prospers again, these numbers will probably be conservative numbers. In 2006, the total cost of chip manufacturing equipment was about $2.4 billion, almost double the total in 2005, but still lower than the $2.7 billion in 2004.
Ni believes that overall spending will be moderately smooth in the next few years, which he believes is a good thing to allow industry to grow in a more sustainable way. “Building factories will be more cautious because they are all facing profit pressure,†he said.
China has leapt to the number one IC consumer country, consuming about 25% of all fabricated chips. Parts from all over the world flock to China and assemble at a low cost in a large number of factories. Ni estimates that by 2010, consumption will exceed $124 billion? D?D is equivalent to about one-third of global consumption, but less than 10% of China's manufacturing is used to meet domestic demand.
Ni also expects that the government will play a smaller role in guiding the industry in the next five years. This means that it may be more difficult to obtain important government incentives for large-scale projects such as wafer fabrication plants, although tax cuts will still be implemented. R&D funding will also be provided to fabless companies that develop products for strategic industries, such as chips that support domestic standards.
“The government will still play an important role, but this should be created by market and market players to create a truly self-sustaining IC industry,†he said.
As more foreign companies decide to move their inherited equipment to China, by 2009, China's second-hand semiconductor equipment market will exceed $800 million. Samuel Ni, senior China analyst at International Semiconductor Equipment and Materials (SEMI), said: "Although two or three 300mm manufacturing plants have been put into production or planning, we believe that the 200mm fab is still the mainstream of consumption in the next two to three years."
Ni said that in 2009, China's wafer fabrication equipment market will reach a total of 3.4 billion US dollars? D?D's share of the global equipment market will rise from 6% in 2006 to 7%. If China prospers again, these numbers will probably be conservative numbers. In 2006, the total cost of chip manufacturing equipment was about $2.4 billion, almost double the total in 2005, but still lower than the $2.7 billion in 2004.
Ni believes that overall spending will be moderately smooth in the next few years, which he believes is a good thing to allow industry to grow in a more sustainable way. “Building factories will be more cautious because they are all facing profit pressure,†he said.
China has leapt to the number one IC consumer country, consuming about 25% of all fabricated chips. Parts from all over the world flock to China and assemble at a low cost in a large number of factories. Ni estimates that by 2010, consumption will exceed $124 billion? D?D is equivalent to about one-third of global consumption, but less than 10% of China's manufacturing is used to meet domestic demand.
Ni also expects that the government will play a smaller role in guiding the industry in the next five years. This means that it may be more difficult to obtain important government incentives for large-scale projects such as wafer fabrication plants, although tax cuts will still be implemented. R&D funding will also be provided to fabless companies that develop products for strategic industries, such as chips that support domestic standards.
“The government will still play an important role, but this should be created by market and market players to create a truly self-sustaining IC industry,†he said.
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